The X Factor‘s live shows get started this Saturday night and bookies William Hill think that this could be Louis’s final appearance as an X Factor judge,  reports  Oddspreview.

The 57-year-old is 2/1 to be replaced in 2010 and 4/9 to be the first judge to have no acts left.

Hills are offering just 12/1 that that Louis’s acts are the first three acts to be voted off – a price which may seem short but is as short as 5/1 with Sky Bet.

“Louis did not have much to work with but he seems to have made a meal of his selections and there is a danger that he will start to look a bit of a clown,” said Hill’s spokesman Rupert Adams.

Cheryl Cole is 3/1 to be the first mentor out of this year’s competition with Dannii Minogue a best price 12/1 with Boylesports.

bet365, who are offering readers to this website a free live stream of England’s World Cup qualifier with Ukraine which airs before X Factor goes out on ITV1 (see below), are a best price 14/1 on Simon Cowell being the first of the four to lose all their acts.

Hill’s have cut the price of John and Edward being the first X Factor act to be eliminated from 15/8 to 7/4 favourites following a number of bets of up to £800. “We think Louis has lost it and we would be astounded if John and Edward don’t fall at the first hurdle,” added Adams.